Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Yards (Protected)

Total Volume

$96.94

Events

Markets

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Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Yards (Protected)

Vol

$96.94

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $96.94

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $96.94

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Matthew Stafford: 200+ passing yards (Protected)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Matthew Stafford: 200+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	85%
Josh Allen: 175+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	81%
Matthew Stafford: 225+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	77%
Josh Allen: 200+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	72%
Matthew Stafford: 250+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	62%
Josh Allen: 225+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	61%
Matthew Stafford: 275+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	53%
Josh Allen: 250+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	47%
Matthew Stafford: 300+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	34%
Josh Allen: 275+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	32%
Matthew Stafford: 325+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	27%
Josh Allen: 300+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	18%
Matthew Stafford: 350+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	12%
Josh Allen: 325+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	10%
Matthew Stafford: 375+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	7%
Josh Allen: 350+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	6%
Matthew Stafford: 400+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	4%
Josh Allen: 375+ passing yards (Protected)	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

85%

Top Probability

$96.94

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

BUF vs LAR (Oct 12) If Matthew Stafford records X passing yards in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the first half of the game but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half, including any overtime period, this Contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kickoff

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Yards (Protected)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** BUF vs LAR (Oct 12)

If Matthew Stafford records X passing yards in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the first half of the game but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half, including any overtime period, this Contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kickoff 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Matthew Stafford records 400+ passing yards in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the fi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $97
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Matthew Stafford: 400+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Matthew Stafford: 375+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Matthew Stafford: 350+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Matthew Stafford: 325+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Matthew Stafford: 300+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Matthew Stafford: 275+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Matthew Stafford: 250+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Matthew Stafford: 225+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Matthew Stafford: 200+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Josh Allen: 375+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Josh Allen: 350+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Josh Allen: 325+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Josh Allen: 300+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Josh Allen: 275+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Josh Allen: 250+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $58
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Josh Allen: 225+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Josh Allen: 200+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $26
  DATA: [Yes: 72.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Josh Allen: 175+ passing yards (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 81.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Yards (Protected)

Volume$96.94

Markets18

18 of 18

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KALSHI

Matthew Stafford: 200+ passing yards (Protected)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.0¢No 15.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Matthew Stafford: 200+ passing yards (Protected)

If Matthew Stafford records 200+ passing yards in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the fi

KALSHI

Josh Allen: 175+ passing yards (Protected)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 81.0¢No 19.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Josh Allen: 175+ passing yards (Protected)

If Josh Allen records 175+ passing yards in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the first ha

KALSHI

Matthew Stafford: 225+ passing yards (Protected)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Matthew Stafford: 225+ passing yards (Protected)

If Matthew Stafford records 225+ passing yards in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the fi

KALSHI

Josh Allen: 200+ passing yards (Protected)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 72.0¢No 28.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Josh Allen: 200+ passing yards (Protected)

If Josh Allen records 200+ passing yards in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the first ha

KALSHI

Matthew Stafford: 250+ passing yards (Protected)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.0¢No 38.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Matthew Stafford: 250+ passing yards (Protected)

If Matthew Stafford records 250+ passing yards in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the fi

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38¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/wJVAzp" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Yards (Protected)"></iframe>

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Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Yards (Protected)

Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Yards (Protected)

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Matthew Stafford: 200+ passing yards (Protected)

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Yards (Protected)

Markets (18)

Matthew Stafford: 200+ passing yards (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 200+ passing yards (Protected)

Josh Allen: 175+ passing yards (Protected)

Josh Allen: 175+ passing yards (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 225+ passing yards (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 225+ passing yards (Protected)

Josh Allen: 200+ passing yards (Protected)

Josh Allen: 200+ passing yards (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 250+ passing yards (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 250+ passing yards (Protected)

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Matthew Stafford: 200+ passing yards (Protected)

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Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Yards (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 200+ passing yards (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 200+ passing yards (Protected)

Josh Allen: 175+ passing yards (Protected)

Josh Allen: 175+ passing yards (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 225+ passing yards (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 225+ passing yards (Protected)

Josh Allen: 200+ passing yards (Protected)

Josh Allen: 200+ passing yards (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 250+ passing yards (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 250+ passing yards (Protected)

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