Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

TX-29 House Election Winner

TX-29 House Election Winner
Vol

PM $19.9K

|
Events

1

|
Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Sylvia Garcia (D) at 98%.

Polymarket

  1. Sylvia Garcia (D)98%
  2. Martha Fierro (R)1.4%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $19.9K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
California 29 House General Election: voter turnout

California 29 House General Election: voter turnout

K 1.0K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 29 House General Election be above 87000?Yes 89%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 29 House General Election be above 104000?Yes 74%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 29 House General Election be above 109000?Yes 70%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $33.3K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 14.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 15%-18%?Yes 14.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $25.4K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 26.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 23.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 22.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-11 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-11 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $23.3K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 28.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 13.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $22.3K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 16.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $20.7K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market