Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?

Name: Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?
End: 2026-10-13T16:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$7.85K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?

Vol

$7.85K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $7.85K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.85K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Poly	98%
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$7.85K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between October 6, 12:00 PM ET and October 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 13, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between October 6, 12:00 PM ET and October 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between October 6, 12:00 PM ET and October 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - howe"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.8K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.25)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $605
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $577
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $437
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $421
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $113
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $250
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $273
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $288
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $244
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $249
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $249
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics