Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli

Total Volume

$197.27K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli

Vol

$197.27K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $197.27K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $197.27K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Canelo Alvarez wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Canelo Alvarez wins	Kalshi	74%
Christian Mbilli wins	Kalshi	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

74%

Top Probability

$197.27K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli (Oct 31) If X wins the Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli boxing match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli boxing match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli (Oct 31)

If X wins the Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli boxing match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli boxing match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by,

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Christian Mbilli wins the Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli boxing match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli boxing match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. If this matc"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $197.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Christian Mbilli wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $65.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Canelo Alvarez wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $132.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli

Volume$197.27K

Markets2

2 of 2

Sort:

KALSHI

Canelo Alvarez wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢

KALSHISports

Canelo Alvarez wins

If Canelo Alvarez wins the Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli boxing match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli boxing match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. If this match

KALSHI

Christian Mbilli wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Christian Mbilli wins

If Christian Mbilli wins the Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli boxing match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli boxing match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. If this matc

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/wQfH_F" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli"></iframe>

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Canelo Alvarez wins

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Events (1)

Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli

Markets (2)

Canelo Alvarez wins

Canelo Alvarez wins

Christian Mbilli wins

Christian Mbilli wins

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Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli

Canelo Alvarez wins

Canelo Alvarez wins

Christian Mbilli wins

Christian Mbilli wins

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