Name: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance
End: 2026-01-29T15:10:00.000Z

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LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance | PredictPedia

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2 markets tracked

First Blood in Game 2?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
First Blood in Game 2?	Poly	45%
First Blood in Game 1?	Poly	45%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 29, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Perseverance, scheduled for January 29 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas.

This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date withou

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming match between ThunderTalk Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Perseverance, scheduled for January 29 at 4:00AM ET:

This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 2.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10
* **Total Liquidity:** $298
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.03)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. First Blood in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [ThunderTalk Gaming: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [Ninjas in Pyjamas: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. First Blood in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [ThunderTalk Gaming: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [Ninjas in Pyjamas: 55.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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45¢

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First Blood in Game 2?

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Events (1)

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance

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First Blood in Game 2?

First Blood in Game 2?

First Blood in Game 1?

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LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance

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