Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Mississippi Senate election: Ty Pinkins vote percent

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$2.38K

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Mississippi Senate election: Ty Pinkins vote percent

Vol

$2.38K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.38K

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.38K

100%

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9 markets tracked

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?	Kalshi	82%
Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?	Kalshi	55%
Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?	Kalshi	33%
Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?	Kalshi	26%
Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?	Kalshi	18%
Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?	Kalshi	13%
Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?	Kalshi	10%
Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?	Kalshi	6%
Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 9% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

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82%

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$2.38K

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About This Event

Vote Percent - Ty Pinkins If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ty Pinkins in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by Ty Pinkins ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Mississippi Senate election: Ty Pinkins vote percent
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Vote Percent - Ty Pinkins

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ty Pinkins in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by Ty Pinkins ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they a

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ty Pinkins in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election is 9% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Ty Pinkins ÷ total valid votes cast) ×"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 9% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $775
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $206
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $600
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $800
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Mississippi Senate election: Ty Pinkins vote percent

Volume$2.38K

Markets9

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KALSHI

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ty Pinkins in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Ty Pinkins ÷ total valid votes cast) ×

KALSHI

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 55.5¢No 44.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ty Pinkins in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election is 2% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Ty Pinkins ÷ total valid votes cast) ×

KALSHI

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ty Pinkins in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Ty Pinkins ÷ total valid votes cast) ×

KALSHI

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ty Pinkins in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election is 4% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Ty Pinkins ÷ total valid votes cast) ×

KALSHI

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ty Pinkins in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Ty Pinkins ÷ total valid votes cast) ×

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/wZoUrb" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Mississippi Senate election: Ty Pinkins vote percent"></iframe>

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Mississippi Senate election: Ty Pinkins vote percent

Mississippi Senate election: Ty Pinkins vote percent

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Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

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Events (1)

Mississippi Senate election: Ty Pinkins vote percent

Markets (9)

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

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Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

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Mississippi Senate election: Ty Pinkins vote percent

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

Will Ty Pinkins receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

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