Name: 1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - More Markets
End: 2026-04-25T13:30:00.000Z

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1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - More Markets | PredictPedia

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9 markets tracked

1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Over/Under 1.5

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Over/Under 1.5	Poly	81%
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score	Poly	63%
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	63%
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Over/Under 3.5	Poly	41%
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)	Poly	30%
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Over/Under 4.5	Poly	26%
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)	Poly	12%
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)	Poly	12%
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)	Poly	12%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - More Markets
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 25, 2026 (9 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for April 25 at 9:30 AM ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for April 25 at 9:30 AM ET:

This market will resolve to "1. FC Köln" if 1. FC Köln win the game by 2 or more goals.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bayer 04 Leverkusen".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has be"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $129
* **Total Liquidity:** $130.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [1. FC Köln: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 25, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [1. FC Köln: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [1. FC Köln: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 25, 2026): Vol $39
  DATA: [Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [1. FC Köln: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. 1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Over/Under 1.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. 1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. 1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Over/Under 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. 1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Over/Under 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 25, 2026): Vol $60
  DATA: [Over: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. 1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

8d 17h remaining

Apr 25, 2026 1:30 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

37¢

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1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Over/Under 1.5

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Events (1)

1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - More Markets

Markets (9)

1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score

1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score

Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)

Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)

Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)

Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)

Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)

Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)

Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)

Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)

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1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Over/Under 1.5

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1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - More Markets

1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score

1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score

Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)

Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)

Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)

Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)

Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)

Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)

Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)

Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)

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