Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

Name: GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?
End: 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.47K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

Vol

$5.47K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.47K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.47K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?	Poly	67%
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	Poly	32%
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?	Poly	6%
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?	Poly	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

67%

Top Probability

$5.47K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 1, 2027 (263 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.73)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $294
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech