Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?

Total Volume

$6.22K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?

Vol

$6.22K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $6.22K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.22K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jul 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jul 1, 2027?	Kalshi	55%
Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	51%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

55%

Top Probability

$6.22K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. If United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. has been dismissed by the court or administrative body with jurisdiction after Issuance and before X 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. X dismissal is defined as: For Criminal Cases: Dismissal of charges by prosecutor, nolle prosequi, Court-ordered dismissal for constitutional violations Dismissal for speedy trial violations Dismissal for prosecutorial misconduct Dismissal for insuffi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr.

If United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. has been dismissed by the court or administrative body with jurisdiction after Issuance and before X 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. X dismissal is defined as: For Criminal Cases: Dismissal of charges by prosecutor, nolle prosequi, Court-ordered dismissal for constitutional violations Dismissal for speedy trial violations Dismissal for prosecutorial misconduct Dismissal for insuffi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. has been dismissed by the court or administrative body with jurisdiction after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A dismissal is defined as:

For Criminal Cases:
Dismissal of charges by prosecutor ("

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jul 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 8, 2027): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?

Volume$6.22K

Markets2

2 of 2

Sort:

KALSHI

Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jul 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 55.5¢No 44.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jul 1, 2027?

If United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. has been dismissed by the court or administrative body with jurisdiction after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A dismissal is defined as: For Criminal Cases: Dismissal of charges by prosecutor (

KALSHI

Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jan 1, 2027?

If United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. has been dismissed by the court or administrative body with jurisdiction after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A dismissal is defined as: For Criminal Cases: Dismissal of charges by prosecutor (

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

53¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/wynWUc" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jul 1, 2027?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?

Markets (2)

Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jul 1, 2027?

Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jul 1, 2027?

Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jan 1, 2027?

Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jan 1, 2027?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jul 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?

Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jul 1, 2027?

Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jul 1, 2027?

Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jan 1, 2027?

Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jan 1, 2027?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget