Name: Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - More Markets
End: 2026-02-05T04:00:00.000Z

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Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - More Markets | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?	Poly	75%
Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Match goes to Day 4?	Poly	51%
Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Match goes to Day 3?	Poly	45%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - More Markets
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 5, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the cricket match between Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra scheduled for 2026-01-29 in Ranji Trophy Elite Group B.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the pre-match coin toss for the cricket match between Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra scheduled for 2026-01-29 in Ranji Trophy Elite Group B.
This market resolves according to the official coin toss result (the team recorded as having won the toss) as published by https://www.es"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $97
* **Total Liquidity:** $5.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 5, 2026): Vol $46
  DATA: [Yes: 74.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Match goes to Day 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 5, 2026): Vol $51
  DATA: [Yes: 45.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Match goes to Day 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

57¢

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Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?

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Events (1)

Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - More Markets

Markets (3)

Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?

Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?

Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Match goes to Day 4?

Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Match goes to Day 4?

Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Match goes to Day 3?

Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Match goes to Day 3?

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Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?

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Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - More Markets

Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?

Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?

Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Match goes to Day 4?

Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Match goes to Day 4?

Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Match goes to Day 3?

Ranji Trophy: Madhya Pradesh vs Maharashtra (Game 1) - Match goes to Day 3?

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