Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: First 5 Spread

Total Volume

$10.47

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Markets

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Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: First 5 Spread

Vol

$10.47

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $10.47

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.47

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?	Kalshi	34%
Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?	Kalshi	22%
Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?	Kalshi	19%
Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?	Kalshi	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

34%

Top Probability

$10.47

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

CLE vs TB (Oct 12) If Tampa Bay wins by more than X runs in the first 5 innings of the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished, within two days. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: First 5 Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** CLE vs TB (Oct 12)

If Tampa Bay wins by more than X runs in the first 5 innings of the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished, within two days. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tampa Bay wins by more than 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: First 5 Spread

Volume$10.47

Markets4

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KALSHI

Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 34.0¢No 66.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

If Tampa Bay wins by more than 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close

KALSHI

Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

If Tampa Bay wins by more than 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close

KALSHI

Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

If Cleveland wins by more than 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close

KALSHI

Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

If Cleveland wins by more than 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close

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Average Yes Price

21¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/x-igfW" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: First 5 Spread"></iframe>

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Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: First 5 Spread

Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: First 5 Spread

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Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: First 5 Spread

Markets (4)

Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

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Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

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Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: First 5 Spread

Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

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