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GroupPOLYMARKET

Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 23?

Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 23?
Vol

PM $213.8

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Events

1

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Markets

11

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 23°C at 44%.

Polymarket

  1. 23°C44%
  2. 22°C26%
  3. 24°C or higher18%
  4. 21°C12%
  5. 18°C2%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $213.8

Reported volume · provider units

11

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) on 23 Oct '26. The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported. A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count. Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label. For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits. After the T, one digit for sign (0 positive, 1 negative) and three for tenths of a degree Celsius give the temperature; the following four are the dew point and are not used. T01390133 is 13.9°C; T10171022 is −1.7°C. If a routine observation does not carry the hourly temperature remark, the temperature group in the body of that observation governs for that observation, in whole degrees Celsius as reported. It appears as temperature and dew point separated by a slash, with M marking a negative value: 18/12 is 18°C; M11/M17 is −11°C. An observation that reports no temperature in either place is disregarded. Each market in this event states its range in whole degrees Celsius. The qualifying value is rounded to the nearest whole degree, with a value ending in exactly half rounded up to the next higher whole degree, and that whole Celsius value determines which range contains it. For example, 13.9°C counts as 14°C; 17.4°C counts as 17°C; 16.5°C counts as 17°C; −1.7°C counts as −2°C; −8.5°C counts as −8°C. An observation counts if its time stamp, converted to the station's local time (including any daylight-saving shift in effect), falls on the observation date. This market will resolve at the issuance of the first METAR observation for the station on the day following the observation date or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. Resolution is determined from the observations the resolution source shows for the observation date. In the event that the Aviation Weather Center has published no routine observation reporting a temperature for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that neither source has published data sufficient to determine a temperature for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The report the resolution source shows for a given observation time is the one that counts, whether or not it is marked as a correction (COR). Changes to observations within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered. Where the first routine observation for the following date is published before that deadline, resolution is determined from a read taken after it. Where it is not, resolution is determined from a read taken at that deadline. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be the routine observations for Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) published here: https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=MMMX&format=raw&date=2026-10-24T06:00:00Z&hours=27

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 22?

Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 22?

PM $5.6K
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 22?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 22?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 22?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Panama City on October 23?

Highest temperature in Panama City on October 23?

PM $5
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 23?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 23?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 23?Yes 25%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on October 23?

Lowest temperature in Mexico City on October 23?

PM $0
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C or higher on October 23?Yes 48.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 5°C or below on October 23?Yes 47.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 7°C on October 23?Yes 33.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in NYC on October 23?

Highest temperature in NYC on October 23?

PM $252.71
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 23?Yes 50%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 23?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 23?Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Panama City on October 22?

Highest temperature in Panama City on October 22?

PM $10.6K
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 22?Yes 49.5%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 22?Yes 32%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 22?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 23?

Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 23?

PM $4.0K
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 23?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 23?Yes 25%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 23?Yes 17%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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