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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by June 5?

Name: Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by June 5?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$44.15K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by June 5?

Vol

$44.15K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $44.15K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $44.15K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 400M by June 5?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 400M by June 5?	Poly	99%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by June 5?	Poly	79%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?	Poly	25%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Poly	23%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?	Poly	10%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?	Poly	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$44.15K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before June 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before June 5, 2026, and the listed value has not been reach

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by June 5?
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before June 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before June 5, 2026, and the listed value has not been reach

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before June 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolv"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $44.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $16.3K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.70)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $10.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by June 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $10.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 79.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $9.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will US crude oil reserves fall to 400M by June 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $10.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $500
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy