Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

#2 Spotify Artist in October?

Name: #2 Spotify Artist in October?
End: 2026-10-31T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$15.74K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

#2 Spotify Artist in October?

Vol

$15.74K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $15.74K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $15.74K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	82%
Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	20%
Will Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	1%
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	0%
Will Michael Jackson have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	0%
Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	0%
Will Shakira have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	0%
Will Drake have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	0%
Will Billie Eilish have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	0%
Will Lady Gaga have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	0%
Will Ariana Grande have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	0%
Will Ed Sheeran have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	0%
Will Coldplay have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	0%
Will Justin Bieber have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

82%

Top Probability

$15.74K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second-greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of th

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** #2 Spotify Artist in October?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 31, 2026 (20 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second-greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.

In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of th

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second-greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or co"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $37.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.42)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $296
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Michael Jackson have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $361
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $351
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Shakira have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $351
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $413
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Drake have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $353
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Billie Eilish have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $351
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Lady Gaga have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $281
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Ariana Grande have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $281
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $5.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Ed Sheeran have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $349
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Coldplay have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $281
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Justin Bieber have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $281
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture