Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Prešov Region Governor Election Winner

Name: Prešov Region Governor Election Winner
End: 2026-10-25T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.53K

Events

Markets

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Prešov Region Governor Election Winner

Vol

$5.53K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.53K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.53K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Milan Majerský win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Milan Majerský win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election?	Poly	90%
Will Milan Mazurek win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election?	Poly	9%
Will Monika Lešková win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election?	Poly	1%
Will Samuel Migaľ win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election?	Poly	1%
Will Judita Laššáková win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

90%

Top Probability

$5.53K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Prešov Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporti

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Prešov Region Governor Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 25, 2026 (14 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Prešov Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporti

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Prešov Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $93.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.06)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Milan Majerský win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Samuel Migaľ win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $346
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Milan Mazurek win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $630
  DATA: [Yes: 8.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Judita Laššáková win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $446
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Monika Lešková win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $449
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics