Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Name: Next Prime Minister of Latvia?
End: 2026-10-03T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$12.43K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Vol

$12.43K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $12.43K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $12.43K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	Poly	99%
Will Viktors Valainis be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	Poly	1%
Will Jūlija Stepaņenko be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	Poly	0%
Will Arvils Ašeradens be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	Poly	0%
Will Svetlana Čulkova be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	Poly	0%
Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	Poly	0%
Will Ilze Indriksone be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	Poly	0%
Will Andris Šuvajevs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$12.43K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will n

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Prime Minister of Latvia?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will n

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual mus"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $12.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $98.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.13)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $7.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ilze Indriksone be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $392
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Andris Šuvajevs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $620
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Viktors Valainis be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $562
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Arvils Ašeradens be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $532
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Svetlana Čulkova be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $607
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Jūlija Stepaņenko be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $760
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld