Name: United Rugby Championship: Benetton Treviso vs Leinster
End: 2026-05-02T18:45:00.000Z

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United Rugby Championship: Benetton Treviso vs Leinster | PredictPedia

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will Leinster win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Leinster win?	Poly	52%
Will Benetton Treviso win?	Poly	50%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	8%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** United Rugby Championship: Benetton Treviso vs Leinster
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 2, 2026 (17 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming United Rugby Championship match between Benetton Treviso and Leinster, scheduled for April 25 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25 2026
If Benetton Treviso wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10
* **Total Liquidity:** $87
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.12)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Benetton Treviso win?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Leinster win?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

16d 12h remaining

May 02, 2026 6:45 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

37¢

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United Rugby Championship: Benetton Treviso vs Leinster

United Rugby Championship: Benetton Treviso vs Leinster

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Will Leinster win?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

United Rugby Championship: Benetton Treviso vs Leinster

Markets (3)

Will Leinster win?

Will Leinster win?

Will Benetton Treviso win?

Will Benetton Treviso win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Will Leinster win?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

United Rugby Championship: Benetton Treviso vs Leinster

Will Leinster win?

Will Leinster win?

Will Benetton Treviso win?

Will Benetton Treviso win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Next Market Closes

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