Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP: First Team to Score

Total Volume

$5.00

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EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP: First Team to Score

Vol

$5.00

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $5.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will EC Bahia BA record the first goal of the game?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will EC Bahia BA record the first goal of the game?	Kalshi	64%
Will Mirassol FC SP record the first goal of the game?	Kalshi	32%
Will no goal be scored?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

64%

Top Probability

$5.00

Volume

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About This Event

BAH vs MIR (Oct 11) If X records the first goal during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a team in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP: First Team to Score
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** BAH vs MIR (Oct 11)

If X records the first goal during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a team in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market re"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will no goal be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Mirassol FC SP record the first goal of the game?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will EC Bahia BA record the first goal of the game?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP: First Team to Score

Volume$5.00

Markets3

3 of 3

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KALSHI

Will EC Bahia BA record the first goal of the game?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will EC Bahia BA record the first goal of the game?

If EC Bahia BA records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following marke

KALSHI

Will Mirassol FC SP record the first goal of the game?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.0¢No 68.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will Mirassol FC SP record the first goal of the game?

If Mirassol FC SP records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following ma

KALSHI

Will no goal be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will no goal be scored?

If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market re

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33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/xfz9Ee" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP: First Team to Score"></iframe>

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EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP: First Team to Score

EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP: First Team to Score

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Will EC Bahia BA record the first goal of the game?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP: First Team to Score

Markets (3)

Will EC Bahia BA record the first goal of the game?

Will EC Bahia BA record the first goal of the game?

Will Mirassol FC SP record the first goal of the game?

Will Mirassol FC SP record the first goal of the game?

Will no goal be scored?

Will no goal be scored?

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Will EC Bahia BA record the first goal of the game?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

EC Bahia BA vs Mirassol FC SP: First Team to Score

Will EC Bahia BA record the first goal of the game?

Will EC Bahia BA record the first goal of the game?

Will Mirassol FC SP record the first goal of the game?

Will Mirassol FC SP record the first goal of the game?

Will no goal be scored?

Will no goal be scored?

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