US announces military support of Iran opposition by...? | PredictPedia

This event has ended. Showing historical data.

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

Name: US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$484.47K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $484.47K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $484.47K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$484.47K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms that the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Iranian opposition groups by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity. Informal statements, plans con

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, June 29, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms that the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Iranian opposition groups by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity.

Informal statements, plans con

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms that the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Iranian opposition groups by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For conf"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $253.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $18.0K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 14.10)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $253.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

1¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/xiwJHf" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)