Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Name: Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves
End: 2026-10-19T14:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$182.26

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Vol

$182.26

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $182.26

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $182.26

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Set Handicap: Felipe Meligeni Alves (-1.5) vs Joaquin Aguilar (+1.5)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Set Handicap: Felipe Meligeni Alves (-1.5) vs Joaquin Aguilar (+1.5)	Poly	56%
Aguilar vs. Alves: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	54%
Set 1 Winner: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves	Poly	54%
Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves	Poly	52%
Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves	Poly	50%
Set 2 Winner: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves	Poly	50%
Aguilar vs. Alves: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Aguilar vs. Alves: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Aguilar vs. Alves: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Aguilar vs. Alves: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Aguilar vs. Alves: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	48%
Aguilar vs. Alves: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	48%
Aguilar vs. Alves: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	47%
Aguilar vs. Alves: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	42%
Joaquin Aguilar vs. Felipe Meligeni Alves: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	40%
Set Handicap: Joaquin Aguilar (-1.5) vs Felipe Meligeni Alves (+1.5)	Poly	32%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$182.26

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Joaquin Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 20

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves.

This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Joaquin Aguilar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 20

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves.

This market will resolve t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $182
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $182
  DATA: [Joaquin Aguilar: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Felipe Meligeni Alves: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Joaquin Aguilar: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [Felipe Meligeni Alves: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Joaquin Aguilar: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Felipe Meligeni Alves: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Joaquin Aguilar vs. Felipe Meligeni Alves: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Aguilar vs. Alves: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Aguilar vs. Alves: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Aguilar vs. Alves: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Aguilar vs. Alves: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Aguilar vs. Alves: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Aguilar vs. Alves: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Aguilar vs. Alves: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Aguilar vs. Alves: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Aguilar vs. Alves: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Joaquin Aguilar (-1.5) vs Felipe Meligeni Alves (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Joaquin Aguilar: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [Felipe Meligeni Alves: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Set Handicap: Felipe Meligeni Alves (-1.5) vs Joaquin Aguilar (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Felipe Meligeni Alves: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [Joaquin Aguilar: 44.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Volume$182.26

Markets16

16 of 16

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POLYMARKET

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

POLYMARKET

Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

POLYMARKET

Joaquin Aguilar vs. Felipe Meligeni Alves: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Joaquin Aguilar vs. Felipe Meligeni Alves: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and

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Oct 19, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

48¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/xjgjrs" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves"></iframe>

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Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Set Handicap: Felipe Meligeni Alves (-1.5) vs Joaquin Aguilar (+1.5)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Markets (16)

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Set 1 Winner: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Set 1 Winner: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Set 2 Winner: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Set 2 Winner: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Joaquin Aguilar vs. Felipe Meligeni Alves: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Joaquin Aguilar vs. Felipe Meligeni Alves: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Set Handicap: Felipe Meligeni Alves (-1.5) vs Joaquin Aguilar (+1.5)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Set 1 Winner: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Set 1 Winner: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Set 2 Winner: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Set 2 Winner: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Joaquin Aguilar vs. Felipe Meligeni Alves: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Joaquin Aguilar vs. Felipe Meligeni Alves: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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