GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Name: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
End: 2026-07-23T18:25:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.49M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Vol

$3.49M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.49M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.49M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$3.49M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL match between Bilibili Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 23 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a win

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 23, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between Bilibili Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 23 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming.

This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a win

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 952.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 23, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Volume$3.49M

Markets2

2 of 2

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. This market

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/xrSVoz" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend"></iframe>

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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

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Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Markets (2)

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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