AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Ontario Reign | PredictPedia

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AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Ontario Reign

Name: AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Ontario Reign
End: 2026-02-01T23:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$486.78

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AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Ontario Reign

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Polymarket

markets · $486.78

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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Volume DistributionTotal: $486.78

100%

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1 market tracked

AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Ontario Reign

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Ontario Reign	Poly	99%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$486.78

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About This Event

In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for February 1 at 6:00PM ET: If Coachella Valley Firebirds win, the market will resolve to "Coachella Valley Firebirds". If Ontario Reign win, the market will resolve to "Ontario Reign". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Ontario Reign
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for February 1 at 6:00PM ET:
If Coachella Valley Firebirds win, the market will resolve to "Coachella Valley Firebirds".
If Ontario Reign win, the market will resolve to "Ontario Reign".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for 2026-02-01:
If Coachella Valley Firebirds win, the market will resolve to "Coachella Valley Firebirds".
If Ontario Reign win, the market will resolve to "Ontario Reign".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $487
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.26)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Ontario Reign
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $487
  DATA: [Coachella Valley Firebirds: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [Ontario Reign: 1.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Overview

This prediction market concerns the outcome of an American Hockey League game between the Coachella Valley Firebirds and Bakersfield Condors, scheduled for February 18 at 9:30 PM ET. The AHL is the primary developmental league for the National Hockey League, and this regular season matchup features two Pacific Division rivals. The market will resolve based on the official final score, including any overtime or shootout periods, as determined by the AHL. A postponed game will keep the market open until completion, while a cancellation with no makeup date would result in a 50-50 split resolution. The Firebirds are the top affiliate of the NHL's Seattle Kraken, while the Condors are the primary affiliate of the Edmonton Oilers. This game is part of the 72-game AHL regular season, where teams compete for playoff positioning and players vie for NHL call-ups. Interest in this market stems from both sports betting and hockey analytics communities tracking team performance, player development, and divisional standings. The late-night Eastern Time start also makes it a focus for West Coast hockey fans and bettors.

Historical Context

The Coachella Valley Firebirds began play in the 2022-23 season as the 32nd AHL franchise, establishing an immediate rivalry with the Bakersfield Condors due to their geographic proximity in California. The Condors have a longer history, originally founded in 1995 as an ECHL team before joining the AHL in 2015 as the Edmonton Oilers' affiliate. In their brief history, the Firebirds and Condors have developed a competitive series. During the 2022-23 season, their first meeting resulted in a 4-3 overtime victory for the Firebirds on November 11, 2022. The teams met 12 times in that inaugural season, with the Firebirds winning 7 of those matchups. The rivalry intensified during the 2023 Calder Cup Playoffs when the Firebirds eliminated the Condors in the Pacific Division Finals, winning the series 4-2 en route to their second consecutive Finals appearance. This playoff history adds a layer of intensity to their regular season meetings, as players from both sides remember those high-stakes games.

Why It Matters

The outcome of AHL games has direct implications for NHL franchises. Player performance at this level determines call-up decisions, contract extensions, and future roster construction. For the Seattle Kraken and Edmonton Oilers, games like this provide evaluation data on whether prospects like Shane Wright or Raphael Lavoie are ready for increased NHL responsibility. Economically, the AHL contributes significantly to local economies in cities like Palm Springs and Bakersfield. The Firebirds' arrival in Coachella Valley represented a major sports investment for the region, with the team playing at the new Acrisure Arena. For the Condors, maintaining a competitive team helps sustain fan engagement at the Mechanics Bank Arena, which has been a successful AHL market. Beyond the immediate teams, the game affects the AHL's Pacific Division standings, influencing playoff seeding and potential matchups. The league uses these games to assess rule implementations and officiating standards that sometimes later appear in the NHL.

Current Status

As of early February 2024, the Coachella Valley Firebirds are near the top of the AHL's Pacific Division standings. The Bakersfield Condors are positioned in the middle of the division, competing for a playoff spot. Both teams have played approximately 45 games of their 72-game schedule. The Firebirds have been particularly strong at home, while the Condors have shown improvement in their road performances recently. Several players from both teams have received NHL call-ups during the season, creating roster fluctuations that affect team chemistry and performance. The AHL trade deadline on March 8 could potentially impact both rosters before this February 18 matchup, though any major moves would likely occur closer to that date.

Frequently Asked Questions

Where is the Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Bakersfield Condors game being played?

The game is scheduled to be played at Acrisure Arena in Thousand Palms, California, which is the home arena of the Coachella Valley Firebirds. The arena opened in 2022 and has a capacity of approximately 10,000 for hockey games.

What channel is the AHL game on?

AHL games are broadcast on several platforms including AHLTV, the league's streaming service, and occasionally on regional sports networks. The specific broadcast details for this game would be announced closer to the date by both teams and the AHL.

How do overtime rules work in the AHL?

AHL regular season games tied after three periods go to a 3-on-3 overtime period lasting up to five minutes. If still tied, a three-round shootout follows. Both overtime and shootout results count toward the final score for betting and prediction market purposes.

What is the Calder Cup?

The Calder Cup is the championship trophy awarded to the playoff winner of the American Hockey League. It is named after Frank Calder, the first president of the NHL. Both the Firebirds and Condors are competing to qualify for the Calder Cup playoffs.

Can AHL players be called up to the NHL during the season?

Yes, NHL teams can recall players from their AHL affiliates at any time, subject to roster limits and salary cap considerations. These call-ups often occur due to NHL injuries or performance needs, which can significantly impact AHL team rosters from game to game.

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Updated Feb 19, 2026

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Ontario Reign

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AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Ontario Reign

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Overview

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Why It Matters

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