Name: Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by January 31?
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z

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Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by January 31? | PredictPedia

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Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by January 31?

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Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by January 31?	Poly	100%
Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by January 31?	Poly	99%
Will MrBeast hit 108 billion views by January 31?	Poly	97%
Will MrBeast hit 110 billion views by January 31?	Poly	96%
Will MrBeast hit 107 billion views by January 31?	Poly	94%
Will MrBeast hit 125 billion views by January 31?	Poly	70%
Will MrBeast hit 109 billion views by January 31?	Poly	30%
Will MrBeast hit 115 billion views by January 31?	Poly	6%
Will MrBeast hit 106.5 billion views by January 31?	Poly	2%
Will MrBeast hit 105 billion views by January 31?	Poly	0%
Will MrBeast hit 106 billion views by January 31?	Poly	0%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by January 31?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 31, 2026 (16 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (h"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $126.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $233.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.54)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $35.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will MrBeast hit 106.5 billion views by January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $7.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will MrBeast hit 105 billion views by January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will MrBeast hit 106 billion views by January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will MrBeast hit 107 billion views by January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $29.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will MrBeast hit 115 billion views by January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $29.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $13.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will MrBeast hit 125 billion views by January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will MrBeast hit 109 billion views by January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $893
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will MrBeast hit 110 billion views by January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $225
  DATA: [Yes: 95.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will MrBeast hit 108 billion views by January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $120
  DATA: [Yes: 97.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

15d 17h remaining

Jan 31, 2026 12:00 AM

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54¢

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Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by January 31?

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Events (1)

Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by January 31?

Markets (11)

Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 108 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 108 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 110 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 110 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 107 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 107 billion views by January 31?

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Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by January 31?

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Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 108 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 108 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 110 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 110 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 107 billion views by January 31?

Will MrBeast hit 107 billion views by January 31?

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