Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Memphis vs Tulane: 1st Half Spread

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Memphis vs Tulane: 1st Half Spread

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Polymarket

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21 markets tracked

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Memphis wins 1H by over 2.5 points

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Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Memphis wins 1H by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	60%
Memphis wins 1H by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	52%
Memphis wins 1H by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	48%
Memphis wins 1H by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	43%
Memphis wins 1H by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	38%
Memphis wins 1H by over 9.5 points	Kalshi	36%
Memphis wins 1H by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	32%
Tulane wins 1H by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	27%
Memphis wins 1H by over 13.5 points	Kalshi	25%
Tulane wins 1H by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	23%
Tulane wins 1H by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	19%
Memphis wins 1H by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	19%
Tulane wins 1H by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	17%
Memphis wins 1H by over 17.5 points	Kalshi	15%
Tulane wins 1H by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	15%
Tulane wins 1H by over 9.5 points	Kalshi	14%
Memphis wins 1H by over 20.5 points	Kalshi	14%
Tulane wins 1H by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	13%
Memphis wins 1H by over 23.5 points	Kalshi	12%
Tulane wins 1H by over 13.5 points	Kalshi	11%
Tulane wins 1H by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

60%

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About This Event

MEM vs TULN (Oct 16) If Tulane wins by more than X points in the 1st half of the Memphis vs Tulane college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market wil

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Memphis vs Tulane: 1st Half Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** MEM vs TULN (Oct 16)

If Tulane wins by more than X points in the 1st half of the Memphis vs Tulane college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market wil

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tulane wins by more than 7.5 points in the 1st half of the Memphis vs Tulane college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tulane wins 1H by over 7.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Tulane wins 1H by over 6.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Tulane wins 1H by over 4.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Tulane wins 1H by over 3.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Tulane wins 1H by over 2.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Tulane wins 1H by over 14.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Tulane wins 1H by over 13.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Tulane wins 1H by over 10.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Tulane wins 1H by over 9.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Memphis wins 1H by over 7.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Memphis wins 1H by over 6.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Memphis wins 1H by over 4.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Memphis wins 1H by over 3.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Memphis wins 1H by over 2.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Memphis wins 1H by over 23.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Memphis wins 1H by over 20.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Memphis wins 1H by over 17.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Memphis wins 1H by over 14.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Memphis wins 1H by over 13.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Memphis wins 1H by over 10.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Memphis wins 1H by over 9.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Memphis vs Tulane: 1st Half Spread

Volume$0.00

Markets21

21 of 21

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KALSHI

Memphis wins 1H by over 2.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 60.0¢No 40.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Memphis wins 1H by over 2.5 points

If Memphis wins by more than 2.5 points in the 1st half of the Memphis vs Tulane college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but

KALSHI

Memphis wins 1H by over 3.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Memphis wins 1H by over 3.5 points

If Memphis wins by more than 3.5 points in the 1st half of the Memphis vs Tulane college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but

KALSHI

Memphis wins 1H by over 4.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Memphis wins 1H by over 4.5 points

If Memphis wins by more than 4.5 points in the 1st half of the Memphis vs Tulane college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but

KALSHI

Memphis wins 1H by over 6.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Memphis wins 1H by over 6.5 points

If Memphis wins by more than 6.5 points in the 1st half of the Memphis vs Tulane college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but

KALSHI

Memphis wins 1H by over 7.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.0¢No 62.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Memphis wins 1H by over 7.5 points

If Memphis wins by more than 7.5 points in the 1st half of the Memphis vs Tulane college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/y4D7Xb" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Memphis vs Tulane: 1st Half Spread"></iframe>

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Memphis vs Tulane: 1st Half Spread

Memphis vs Tulane: 1st Half Spread

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Memphis wins 1H by over 2.5 points

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Memphis vs Tulane: 1st Half Spread

Markets (21)

Memphis wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 3.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 3.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 4.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 4.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 6.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 6.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 7.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 7.5 points

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Memphis wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Memphis vs Tulane: 1st Half Spread

Memphis wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 3.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 3.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 4.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 4.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 6.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 6.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 7.5 points

Memphis wins 1H by over 7.5 points

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