$358.89
1
3
$358.89
1
3
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, January 18, 2026 between CD Santa Clara and FC Famalicão.
Prediction markets currently assign a 37% probability to FC Famalicão defeating CD Santa Clara in their Primeira Liga match on January 18, 2026. This price, trading on Polymarket, indicates the market views an away victory as the least likely of the three match outcomes (win, lose, draw). A 37% chance suggests bettors see Famalicão as significant underdogs, though not without a realistic possibility of securing a result. With only $0K in volume reported, this market is extremely illiquid, meaning the current price is more indicative of very early sentiment than a robust consensus.
The primary factor driving these low odds is the historical and situational context of Primeira Liga. Santa Clara, while not a top-tier powerhouse, traditionally establishes a strong defensive identity at home, making them difficult to beat. Furthermore, Famalicão's typical mid-table positioning often translates to inconsistent away form, struggling to secure wins on the road against organized sides. The market is likely pricing in this fundamental disadvantage for the visiting team. Without current season form or squad news for the 2025/26 season available, the market defaults to these established league patterns and the inherent difficulty of away matches.
These odds are highly susceptible to change with the release of concrete team news as the match approaches. Key catalysts include the publication of the starting lineups and any reports of significant player injuries or suspensions for either side. A major injury to a key Santa Clara defender or midfielder, for example, could see money flow toward Famalicão, rapidly increasing their probability. Conversely, confirmation of Famalicão missing their top scorer would solidify Santa Clara's favoritism. Given the match resolves in just three days, this market will see its most meaningful movement in the 24-48 hours before kickoff as professional bettors and analysts act on the final available information.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This topic concerns an upcoming Primeira Liga football match between Clube Desportivo Santa Clara and Futebol Clube de Famalicão, scheduled for Sunday, January 18, 2026. The Primeira Liga is the top professional football division in the Portuguese football league system, and this match represents a fixture between two clubs with distinct histories and recent trajectories. CD Santa Clara, based in Ponta Delgada on the island of São Miguel in the Azores, is known for being the westernmost club in Europe's major leagues. FC Famalicão, from the northern city of Vila Nova de Famalicão, has experienced a resurgence in recent years, returning to the top flight and establishing itself as a competitive side. The match is significant within the context of the 2025-2026 league season, where every point is crucial for achieving season objectives, which typically include securing European qualification, achieving a respectable mid-table finish, or avoiding relegation. Interest in this match stems from fans of both clubs, bettors, fantasy football participants, and followers of Portuguese football who track the competitive balance and narratives within the league. The outcome could influence league standings, managerial security, and transfer market strategies for both clubs.
The historical context of this fixture is relatively brief, as both clubs have spent significant portions of their histories outside the top division. CD Santa Clara was founded in 1927 and spent decades in lower divisions before achieving promotion to the Primeira Liga for the first time in 2018. Their most notable achievement was reaching the final of the Taça da Liga in 2022, where they finished as runners-up. FC Famalicão, founded in 1931, has a more sporadic history in the top flight. Their most famous period was in the 1990s, but after relegation, they spent many years outside the Primeira Liga before a dramatic return in 2019, backed by significant investment. The head-to-head record between the two clubs in the Primeira Liga is limited to the seasons where both have been in the division concurrently. Historically, matches have been competitive, often with narrow margins. For instance, in the 2021-2022 season, Famalicão won 2-1 at home, while the reverse fixture ended in a 1-1 draw. These past encounters suggest closely contested matches, often decided by individual moments of quality or defensive errors. The geographical contrast also adds a layer of narrative, pitting a mainland club from a northern industrial hub against an island club representing the autonomous region of the Azores.
Beyond the three points at stake, this match matters for the economic and sporting health of both clubs. Primeira Liga ranking directly influences the distribution of substantial television revenue and prize money. A higher final league position means significantly more financial resources for player acquisition, infrastructure, and youth development. For a club like Santa Clara, based on an island, maintaining top-flight status is also crucial for local pride and the economy of the Azores, attracting fans and tourism. For Famalicão, consistent performance validates their project and helps attract and retain talented players, potentially leading to profitable player sales, a key revenue model for Portuguese clubs outside the traditional 'Big Three'. Socially, these clubs are pillars of their communities. Matchdays provide a focal point for local identity and civic pride. A positive result can boost morale in the respective towns of Vila Nova de Famalicão and Ponta Delgada, while a negative run of form can have the opposite effect, impacting everything from merchandise sales to local business engagement on matchdays.
As of the lead-up to the January 2026 fixture, both teams are engaged in the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga campaign. Their exact league positions and form will be determined by results in the first half of the season. Typically, by January, the league table has begun to take shape, revealing whether each club is involved in a relegation battle, mid-table consolidation, or a push for European places. The match falls during the January transfer window, meaning squad compositions could be in flux with potential new signings or departures. Both managers will be assessing player fitness following the winter break and any cup competitions, with team selection and tactical preparation focused on securing a positive result to start the new year strongly.
CD Santa Clara is based in Ponta Delgada on the island of São Miguel in the Azores, an autonomous region of Portugal in the mid-Atlantic Ocean. This makes them the westernmost club in any of Europe's major football leagues.
FC Famalicão's most notable achievement was finishing 6th in the Primeira Liga in the 2019-2020 season upon their return to the top flight, narrowly missing qualification for the UEFA Europa League. They also have a historic Taça de Portugal runner-up finish from the 1951-1952 season.
Primeira Liga matches are broadcast internationally through various sports networks and streaming services. In Portugal, coverage is typically provided by Sport TV. International viewers should check local listings for broadcasters like ESPN, DAZN, or Fanseat, which hold rights in various territories.
CD Santa Clara plays its home matches at the Estádio de São Miguel in Ponta Delgada. The stadium has an all-seated capacity of approximately 13,277 spectators, though average attendances are often lower due to the island's population and travel logistics.
No, FC Famalicão has never qualified for UEFA club competitions like the Champions League or Europa League. Their 6th place finish in 2020 was their closest attempt, but they have yet to make their debut on the European stage.
Historical records for Santa Clara's all-time top scorer are less documented for their entire history, but in their Primeira Liga era, Brazilian forward Carlos Júnior was a pivotal figure, scoring crucial goals during their initial seasons in the top flight after 2018.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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| Market | Platform | Price |
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| Poly | 37% |
| Poly | 32% |
| Poly | 32% |
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