GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will James Fishback receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will James Fishback receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?	Kalshi	77%
Will James Fishback receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?	Kalshi	70%
Will James Fishback receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?	Kalshi	55%
Will James Fishback receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?	Kalshi	44%
Will James Fishback receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Senate primary?	Kalshi	25%
Will James Fishback receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?	Kalshi	13%
Will James Fishback receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

77%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Aug 18, 2026 If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Fishback in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appe

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Aug 18, 2026

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Fishback in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appe

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Fishback in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will James Fishback receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Senate primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will James Fishback receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will James Fishback receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will James Fishback receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will James Fishback receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will James Fishback receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will James Fishback receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

Volume$0.00

Markets7

7 of 7

Sort:

KALSHI

Will James Fishback receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.5¢No 22.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will James Fishback receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Fishback in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/

KALSHI

Will James Fishback receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 69.5¢No 30.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will James Fishback receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Fishback in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/

KALSHI

Will James Fishback receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 55.0¢No 45.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will James Fishback receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Fishback in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/

KALSHI

Will James Fishback receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 43.5¢No 56.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will James Fishback receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Fishback in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 10% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person

KALSHI

Will James Fishback receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Senate primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will James Fishback receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Senate primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Fishback in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

41¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/y6SiqS" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will James Fishback receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

Markets (7)

Will James Fishback receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Senate primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Senate primary?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will James Fishback receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

Will James Fishback receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Senate primary?

Will James Fishback receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Senate primary?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget