Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Name: Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
End: 2028-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$248.82K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Vol

$248.82K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $248.82K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $248.82K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Poly	35%
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Poly	31%
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Poly	25%
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Poly	9%
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Poly	3%
Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

35%

Top Probability

$248.82K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the first qualifying Millennium Prize Problem for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes f

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2028 (446 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the first qualifying Millennium Prize Problem for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes f

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the first qualifying Millennium Prize Problem for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $248.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $40.0K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 6.22)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $35.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $83.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $14.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $23.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $16.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.1% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $75.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech