Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Total Volume
$8.72K
Events
1
Markets
1
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $8.72K
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $8.72K
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO1)
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 65% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
65%
Top Probability
$8.72K
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win against Natus Vincere in the named LoL match in the LEC Versus Regular Season, scheduled for January 18 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win against Team Vitality in the LoL match. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for thi
Current Market Outlook
Prediction markets are pricing in a moderate favorite in Team Vitality, with their contract trading at 60¢, implying a 60% probability of victory. This suggests the market sees Vitality as more likely than not to win this Best-of-One (BO1) match, but the odds are far from decisive, reflecting the inherent volatility of a single-game format. Natus Vincere (NAVI) is priced at 40¢, corresponding to a 40% win probability. The market has seen approximately $9,000 in total volume, indicating thin but active liquidity for this specific esports event.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The pricing reflects Team Vitality's stronger recent performance and roster stability within the LEC. Vitality has consistently been a playoff contender, often fielding high-profile, experienced players known for their individual skill, which is a significant asset in a BO1 where one strong lane can decide the game. In contrast, Natus Vincere, while a legendary organization in other esports, has historically been a mid-to-lower table team in the LEC, known for occasional upsets but lacking the same consistent pedigree. The market is likely weighing Vitality's higher floor and more reliable macro play as key advantages.
What Could Change These Odds
The primary catalyst for odds movement will be any last-minute roster news, such as player illness or role swaps, announced before the January 18 match. Furthermore, the BO1 format itself is a major risk to the consensus view. NAVI's strategy could be highly tailored for this one game, potentially leveraging an unconventional draft or early-game composition to secure an upset. If early betting closer to match time shows heavy volume on NAVI, it could signal insider confidence or reaction to scrimmage results, rapidly narrowing the probability gap. The thin market liquidity means a relatively small amount of capital could shift the odds meaningfully in the final 24 hours.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.