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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Name: Eurovision 2026: Top 10
End: 2026-05-16T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$531.36K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Vol

$531.36K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $531.36K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $531.36K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

35 markets tracked

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(35)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	92%
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	82%
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	82%
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	82%
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	81%
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	77%
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	67%
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	64%
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	61%
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	56%
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	43%
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	41%
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	36%
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	31%
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	31%
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	26%
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	23%
Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	19%
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	18%
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	16%
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	14%
Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	11%
Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	9%
Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	9%
Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	8%
Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	7%
Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	6%
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	6%
Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	6%
Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	4%
Will Georgia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	3%
Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

92%

Top Probability

$531.36K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be officia

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Eurovision 2026: Top 10
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 16, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be officia

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated),"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $531.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $277.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.92)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $6.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $35.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Georgia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.1% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $16.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $24.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $18.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.7% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.7% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $23.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $21.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $26.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $22.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $52.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $7.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $34.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $19.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $6.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $53.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $19.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.4% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $19.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 92.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $8.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $6.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $29.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $28.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 81.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $16.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $8.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture