Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Name: Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
End: 2026-10-25T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.27K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Vol

$1.27K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.27K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.27K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Garry Thind win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Garry Thind win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Poly	50%
Will Garry Begg win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Poly	33%
Will James Yaroshuk win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Poly	4%
Will Jodi Murphy win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$1.27K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

General elections to elect all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 25, 2026 (14 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** General elections to elect all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"General elections to elect all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election for a full term beginning "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $15.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.08)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Garry Begg win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Garry Thind win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $536
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Jodi Murphy win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $409
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will James Yaroshuk win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $305
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld