Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

M15 Maringa: Kaue Noatto vs Francisco Fontes Damorim

Name: M15 Maringa: Kaue Noatto vs Francisco Fontes Damorim
End: 2026-10-19T22:25:20.104Z

Total Volume

$259.44

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

M15 Maringa: Kaue Noatto vs Francisco Fontes Damorim

Vol

$259.44

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $259.44

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $259.44

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Set Handicap: Francisco Fontes Damorim (-1.5) vs Kaue Noatto (+1.5)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Set Handicap: Francisco Fontes Damorim (-1.5) vs Kaue Noatto (+1.5)	Poly	50%
M15 Maringa: Kaue Noatto vs Francisco Fontes Damorim	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$259.44

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Kaue Noatto and Francisco Fontes Damorim in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:25PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaue Noatto' if Kaue Noatto advances against Francisco Fontes Damorim. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Fontes Damorim' if Francisco Fontes Damorim advances against Kaue Noatto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** M15 Maringa: Kaue Noatto vs Francisco Fontes Damorim
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Kaue Noatto and Francisco Fontes Damorim in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:25PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Kaue Noatto' if Kaue Noatto advances against Francisco Fontes Damorim.

This market will resolve to 'Francisco Fontes Damorim' if Francisco Fontes Damorim advances against Kaue Noatto.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Kaue Noatto and Francisco Fontes Damorim in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:25PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Kaue Noatto' if Kaue Noatto advances against Francisco Fontes Damorim.

This market will resol"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $259
* **Total Liquidity:** $473
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.55)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. M15 Maringa: Kaue Noatto vs Francisco Fontes Damorim
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $259
  DATA: [Kaue Noatto: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [Francisco Fontes Damorim: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Set Handicap: Francisco Fontes Damorim (-1.5) vs Kaue Noatto (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Francisco Fontes Damorim: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Kaue Noatto: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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