Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Northwestern vs Michigan St.: First Team to Score a TD

Total Volume

$9.00

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Northwestern vs Michigan St.: First Team to Score a TD

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$9.00

Events

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $9.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.00

100%

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3 markets tracked

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Northwestern scores first TD

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Northwestern scores first TD	Kalshi	63%
Michigan St. scores first TD	Kalshi	33%
No team scores a TD	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

63%

Top Probability

$9.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

NW vs MSU (Oct 17) If X scores the first touchdown in the Northwestern vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the team that scores the first touchdown in the Northwestern vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. All touchdowns count for this market, including offensive, defensive, and special teams. If the first touchdown of the game is recorded in overtime, t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Northwestern vs Michigan St.: First Team to Score a TD
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** NW vs MSU (Oct 17)

If X scores the first touchdown in the Northwestern vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the team that scores the first touchdown in the Northwestern vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. All touchdowns count for this market, including offensive, defensive, and special teams. If the first touchdown of the game is recorded in overtime, t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Northwestern scores the first touchdown in the Northwestern vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the team that scores the first touchdown in the Northwestern vs Michigan St. col"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Northwestern scores first TD
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. No team scores a TD
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Michigan St. scores first TD
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Northwestern vs Michigan St.: First Team to Score a TD

Volume$9.00

Markets3

3 of 3

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KALSHI

Northwestern scores first TD

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.5¢No 37.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Northwestern scores first TD

If Northwestern scores the first touchdown in the Northwestern vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the team that scores the first touchdown in the Northwestern vs Michigan St. col

KALSHI

Michigan St. scores first TD

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.5¢No 67.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Michigan St. scores first TD

If Michigan St. scores the first touchdown in the Northwestern vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the team that scores the first touchdown in the Northwestern vs Michigan St. col

KALSHI

No team scores a TD

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

No team scores a TD

If neither team scores the first touchdown in the Northwestern vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the team that scores the first touchdown in the Northwestern vs Michigan St. col

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Average Yes Price

34¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/yWuil8" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Northwestern vs Michigan St.: First Team to Score a TD"></iframe>

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Northwestern vs Michigan St.: First Team to Score a TD

Northwestern vs Michigan St.: First Team to Score a TD

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Northwestern scores first TD

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Events (1)

Northwestern vs Michigan St.: First Team to Score a TD

Markets (3)

Northwestern scores first TD

Northwestern scores first TD

Michigan St. scores first TD

Michigan St. scores first TD

No team scores a TD

No team scores a TD

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Northwestern scores first TD

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Northwestern vs Michigan St.: First Team to Score a TD

Northwestern scores first TD

Northwestern scores first TD

Michigan St. scores first TD

Michigan St. scores first TD

No team scores a TD

No team scores a TD

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