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Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?

Name: NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?
End: 2026-08-13T21:23:59.000Z

Total Volume

$3.54K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?

Vol

$3.54K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.54K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.54K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by December 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by December 31, 2026?	Poly	86%
NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by September 30, 2026?	Poly	72%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$3.54K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" price above $236.54, NVDA’s official all-time intraday high as published by Nasdaq, set on May 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurr

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Aug 13, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" price above $236.54, NVDA’s official all-time intraday high as published by Nasdaq, set on May 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurr

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" price above $236.54, NVDA’s official all-time intraday high as published by Nasdaq, set on May 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market wil"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.2K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.11)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by September 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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