GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Name: Next Prime Minister of Romania?
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.47M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Vol

$3.47M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.47M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.47M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

36 markets tracked

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(36)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	40%
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	14%
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	5%
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	5%
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	3%
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	3%
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	2%
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	2%
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	1%
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	1%
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	1%
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	1%
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%
Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$3.47M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. I

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Prime Minister of Romania?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (117 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

I

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resultin"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.47M
* **Total Liquidity:** $785.0K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.42)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $49.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $56.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $70.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $59.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $153.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $454.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $61.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $176.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.7% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $61.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $56.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $69.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $72.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $85.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $54.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $57.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $65.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $60.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $63.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $48.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $52.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $107.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $61.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $84.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $62.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $103.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $78.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $244.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $52.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $75.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $60.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $78.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $71.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $48.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $288.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $14.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $205.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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