Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia

Total Volume

$108.69

Events

Markets

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Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia

Vol

$108.69

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $108.69

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $108.69

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Jagiellonia wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Jagiellonia wins	Kalshi	70%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	19%
Ararat-Armenia wins	Kalshi	12%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

70%

Top Probability

$108.69

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

JAG vs ARA (Oct 15) If X wins the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** JAG vs ARA (Oct 15)

If X wins the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $109
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Jagiellonia wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Ararat-Armenia wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $109
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia

Volume$108.69

Markets3

3 of 3

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KALSHI

Jagiellonia wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 69.5¢No 30.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Jagiellonia wins

If Jagiellonia wins the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Jagi

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the

KALSHI

Ararat-Armenia wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Ararat-Armenia wins

If Ararat-Armenia wins the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the J

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Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/yYmttR" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia"></iframe>

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Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia

Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia

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Jagiellonia wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia

Markets (3)

Jagiellonia wins

Jagiellonia wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Ararat-Armenia wins

Ararat-Armenia wins

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Jagiellonia wins

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Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia

Jagiellonia wins

Jagiellonia wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Ararat-Armenia wins

Ararat-Armenia wins

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