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GroupPOLYMARKET

Highest temperature in Houston on October 20?

Highest temperature in Houston on October 20?
Vol

PM $6.6K

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Events

1

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Markets

11

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $6.6K

Reported volume · provider units

11

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wellington on October 20?

Highest temperature in Wellington on October 20?

PM $10.5K
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 20?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 20?Yes 29.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 20?Yes 15%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Milan on October 20?

Highest temperature in Milan on October 20?

PM $8.7K
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 20?Yes 41.5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 20?Yes 29%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 20?Yes 15.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Beijing on October 20?

Highest temperature in Beijing on October 20?

PM $7.4K
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 20?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20?Yes 30.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 20?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 20?

Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 20?

PM $7.1K
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 20?Yes 41.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 20?Yes 29%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 20?Yes 20.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Ankara on October 20?

Highest temperature in Ankara on October 20?

PM $6.2K
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 20?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 20?Yes 21.5%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 20?Yes 19%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 20?

Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 20?

PM $4.8K
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?Yes 57%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 20?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 20?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

0

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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