NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 16? | PredictPedia

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NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 16?

Name: NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 16?
End: 2026-01-16T21:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.84K

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NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 16?

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Polymarket

markets · $1.84K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.84K

100%

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1 market tracked

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 16?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 16?	Poly	60%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

60%

Top Probability

$1.84K

Volume

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About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official NASDAQ closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on Friday, January 16, 2026 is higher than the official NASDAQ closing price for NVDA on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official NASDAQ closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on Friday, January 16, 2026 is lower than the official NASDAQ closing price for NVDA on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday f

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 16?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 16, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Up" if the official NASDAQ closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on Friday, January 16, 2026 is higher than the official NASDAQ closing price for NVDA on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official NASDAQ closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on Friday, January 16, 2026 is lower than the official NASDAQ closing price for NVDA on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday f

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Up" if the official NASDAQ closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on Friday, January 16, 2026 is higher than the official NASDAQ closing price for NVDA on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official NASDAQ closing price for NVIDIA (NVD"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.48)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Up: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [Down: 40.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

9h 24mremaining

Jan 16, 2026 9:00 PM

Ending Soon

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

60¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/yg4Gu4" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 16?"></iframe>

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NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 16?

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 16?

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NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 16?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)