US gasoline CPI for April 2026 | PredictPedia

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15 markets tracked

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 300ㅤ?

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Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 300ㅤ?	Kalshi	100%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 320ㅤ?	Kalshi	98%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 315ㅤ?	Kalshi	98%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 310ㅤ?	Kalshi	98%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 305ㅤ?	Kalshi	98%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 340ㅤ?	Kalshi	95%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 335ㅤ?	Kalshi	95%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 330ㅤ?	Kalshi	95%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 325ㅤ?	Kalshi	95%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 345ㅤ?	Kalshi	95%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 350ㅤ?	Kalshi	66%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 355ㅤ?	Kalshi	34%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 360ㅤ?	Kalshi	13%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 365ㅤ?	Kalshi	9%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 370ㅤ?	Kalshi	5%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US gasoline CPI for April 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** April 2026

If the Gasoline, All Types, in U.S. City Average for April 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline, All Types, in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 is above 370ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is sea"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 370ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 365ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 360ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 355ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 350ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 345ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 340ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 335ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 330ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 325ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 320ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 315ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 310ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 305ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 300ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

73¢

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US gasoline CPI for April 2026

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Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 300ㅤ?

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Events (1)

US gasoline CPI for April 2026

Markets (15)

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 300ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 300ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 320ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 320ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 315ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 315ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 310ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 310ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 305ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 305ㅤ?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 300ㅤ?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US gasoline CPI for April 2026

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 300ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 300ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 320ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 320ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 315ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 315ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 310ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 310ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 305ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 305ㅤ?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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