Name: United Rugby Championship: Zebre vs Dragons
End: 2026-05-01T18:45:00.000Z

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United Rugby Championship: Zebre vs Dragons | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Zebre win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Zebre win?	Poly	48%
Will Dragons win?	Poly	44%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	7%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** United Rugby Championship: Zebre vs Dragons
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 1, 2026 (16 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming United Rugby Championship match between Zebre and Dragons, scheduled for April 24 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 24 2026
If Zebre wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this mark"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11
* **Total Liquidity:** $77
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.14)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Zebre win?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Dragons win?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

15d 12h remaining

May 01, 2026 6:45 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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United Rugby Championship: Zebre vs Dragons

United Rugby Championship: Zebre vs Dragons

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Will Zebre win?

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Events (1)

United Rugby Championship: Zebre vs Dragons

Markets (3)

Will Zebre win?

Will Zebre win?

Will Dragons win?

Will Dragons win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Will Zebre win?

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United Rugby Championship: Zebre vs Dragons

Will Zebre win?

Will Zebre win?

Will Dragons win?

Will Dragons win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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