Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Macomb County, Michigan: Mike Rogers vote percent

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$2.36K

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Macomb County, Michigan: Mike Rogers vote percent

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$2.36K

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Will Mike Rogers receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Mike Rogers receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?	Kalshi	97%
Will Mike Rogers receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?	Kalshi	90%
Will Mike Rogers receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?	Kalshi	72%
Will Mike Rogers receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?	Kalshi	47%
Will Mike Rogers receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?	Kalshi	23%
Will Mike Rogers receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?	Kalshi	8%
Will Mike Rogers receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?	Kalshi	3%
Will Mike Rogers receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?	Kalshi	3%

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97%

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$2.36K

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About This Event

Vote Percent - Mike Rogers If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminar

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Macomb County, Michigan: Mike Rogers vote percent
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Vote Percent - Mike Rogers

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminar

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified pe"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Mike Rogers receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Mike Rogers receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Mike Rogers receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Mike Rogers receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Mike Rogers receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Mike Rogers receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Mike Rogers receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Mike Rogers receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Macomb County, Michigan: Mike Rogers vote percent

Volume$2.36K

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KALSHI

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified pe

KALSHI

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified pe

KALSHI

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 71.5¢No 28.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified pe

KALSHI

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 46.5¢No 53.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified pe

KALSHI

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified pe

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Macomb County, Michigan: Mike Rogers vote percent

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Will Mike Rogers receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

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Events (1)

Macomb County, Michigan: Mike Rogers vote percent

Markets (8)

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

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Will Mike Rogers receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Macomb County, Michigan: Mike Rogers vote percent

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

Will Mike Rogers receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Macomb County, Michigan?

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