Name: United Rugby Championship: Connacht vs Leinster
End: 2026-01-31T17:30:00.000Z

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United Rugby Championship: Connacht vs Leinster | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Connacht win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Connacht win?	Poly	50%
Will Leinster win?	Poly	48%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	47%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** United Rugby Championship: Connacht vs Leinster
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 31, 2026 (16 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming United Rugby Championship match between Connacht and Leinster, scheduled for January 24 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 24 2026
If Connacht wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $232
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Connacht win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Leinster win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

15d 5h remaining

Jan 31, 2026 5:30 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

48¢

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United Rugby Championship: Connacht vs Leinster

United Rugby Championship: Connacht vs Leinster

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Will Connacht win?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

United Rugby Championship: Connacht vs Leinster

Markets (3)

Will Connacht win?

Will Connacht win?

Will Leinster win?

Will Leinster win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Will Connacht win?

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United Rugby Championship: Connacht vs Leinster

Will Connacht win?

Will Connacht win?

Will Leinster win?

Will Leinster win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

Related News & Context

Next Market Closes

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