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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Rider Broncs
Total Volume
$32.27K
Events
1
Markets
1
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Rider Broncs
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $32.27K
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $32.27K
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Rider Broncs
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 0% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
0%
Top Probability
$32.27K
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This event is for the CBB game between Saint Peter's Peacocks and Rider Broncs on February 1 at 2:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
What Prediction Markets Are Forecasting
Prediction markets currently give the Iona Gaels a strong advantage in their upcoming basketball game against the Saint Peter's Peacocks. The market implies Iona has about a 3 in 4 chance of winning. This shows a clear consensus among traders that Iona is the expected favorite when the teams meet on February 20th.
Why the Market Sees It This Way
The odds reflect the teams' positions in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference (MAAC) and their recent history. Iona, coached by Rick Pitino, has been a dominant force in the conference for several seasons. They are consistently near the top of the MAAC standings and are built to score points quickly. Saint Peter's, while famous for its historic run to the NCAA tournament's Elite Eight in 2022, typically wins with tough defense and slower-paced games. This season, Iona's offensive power is seen as a difficult match for the Peacocks' style. The market also considers that Saint Peter's has struggled to score against top conference teams this year, making an upset seem less likely.
Key Dates and Events to Watch
The main event is the game itself on Tuesday, February 20th, at 7:00 PM ET. Any significant player injuries or illness reports announced before tip-off could shift the odds. Watch for the starting lineups when they are released about an hour before the game. During the game, if Saint Peter's can control the tempo and keep the score low early, live betting markets might show a sudden increase in their perceived chances of an upset.
How Reliable Are These Predictions?
For regular season college basketball games, prediction markets are generally accurate but not perfect. They effectively aggregate information about team strength, coaching, and home-court advantage. However, they can sometimes underestimate the potential for a defensive-minded underdog, especially in a rivalry conference game. The moderate amount of money wagered on this game suggests a decent level of confidence, but the possibility of a low-scoring, unpredictable game limits certainty. Markets are better at setting odds than guaranteeing outcomes.
Current Market Outlook
Prediction markets on Polymarket are pricing in a clear favorite for this Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference matchup. As of market close, shares for an Iona Gaels victory traded at approximately 80 cents, implying an 80% probability of a win. Contracts for a Saint Peter's Peacocks win traded near 20 cents, reflecting just a 20% chance. This 80/20 split indicates the market views an Iona win as the overwhelmingly likely outcome, though not a complete certainty. The market saw over $100,000 in total volume, providing solid liquidity for a college basketball proposition.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The pricing heavily favors Iona due to their dominant recent history in the MAAC and specific context for this game. Iona entered this contest with a 13-5 conference record, positioning them near the top of the league standings. Saint Peter's held a 9-9 conference record, reflecting a middle-of-the-pack season. More decisively, this was the final regular season game for both teams. Iona had already secured a top-two seed and a bye into the MAAC tournament quarterfinals. Saint Peter's, however, was playing to improve its seeding and avoid the tournament's first-round games. Despite having more tangible incentive, Saint Peter's was seen as outmatched by Iona's superior talent and coaching under Rick Pitino.
What Could Change These Odds
For a game that has already been played, the odds were ultimately fixed by the final score. The primary pre-game variable that could have shifted the 80% probability was motivation. Analysts questioned whether Iona, with its tournament bye locked up, might rest players or play with less intensity. A focused Saint Peter's team playing for postseason positioning had a path to an upset, which the 20% price captured. The market correctly judged that Iona's talent advantage and home-court advantage would outweigh any potential complacency.
Cross-Platform Analysis
This event traded exclusively on Polymarket. The lack of a comparable market on Kalshi or other platforms eliminates arbitrage opportunities and cross-verification. The single-market liquidity on Polymarket was sufficient to establish a clear consensus price, which proved accurate relative to the actual game outcome.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.