Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

TSA avg check-ins from Oct 5 to 11, 2026?

Total Volume

$11.76K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

TSA avg check-ins from Oct 5 to 11, 2026?

Vol

$11.76K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $11.76K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.76K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Will more than 2500000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will more than 2500000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	99%
Will more than 2450000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	99%
Will more than 2400000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	98%
Will more than 2350000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	98%
Will more than 2300000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	98%
Will more than 2250000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	98%
Will more than 2200000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	98%
Will more than 2150000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	98%
Will more than 2100000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	98%
Will more than 2050000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	98%
Will more than 2000000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	98%
Will more than 1950000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	98%
Will more than 1900000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	98%
Will more than 1850000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	98%
Will more than 1800000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	98%
Will more than 2550000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	84%
Will more than 2600000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	14%
Will more than 2700000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	5%
Will more than 2750000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	4%
Will more than 2650000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	2%
Will more than 2800000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$11.76K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Oct 5 to 11, 2026 If weekly average TSA airport screenings are above X million for the week ending October 11, 2026, according to the TSA, then the market resolves to Yes. The Contract will expire at the sooner of the first 9:00 AM following the release of the data for October 11, 2026, or one week after October 11, 2026. The Last Trading Date and Time will always be 11:59 PM on October 11, 2026.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** TSA avg check-ins from Oct 5 to 11, 2026?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Oct 5 to 11, 2026

If weekly average TSA airport screenings are above X million for the week ending October 11, 2026, according to the TSA, then the market resolves to Yes. The Contract will expire at the sooner of the first 9:00 AM following the release of the data for October 11, 2026, or one week after October 11, 2026. The Last Trading Date and Time will always be 11:59 PM on October 11, 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If weekly average TSA airport screenings are above 2.8 million for the week ending October 11, 2026, according to the TSA, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Contract will expire at the sooner of the first 9:00 AM following the release of the data for October 11, 2026, or one week"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will more than 2800000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will more than 2750000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will more than 2700000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $31
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will more than 2650000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $99
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will more than 2600000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will more than 2550000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 84.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will more than 2500000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will more than 2450000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $455
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will more than 2400000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will more than 2350000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will more than 2300000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will more than 2250000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will more than 2200000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will more than 2150000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will more than 2100000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will more than 2050000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $52
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will more than 2000000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will more than 1950000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will more than 1900000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will more than 1850000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will more than 1800000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

TSA avg check-ins from Oct 5 to 11, 2026?

Volume$11.76K

Markets21

21 of 21

Sort:

KALSHI

Will more than 2500000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will more than 2500000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

If weekly average TSA airport screenings are above 2.5 million for the week ending October 11, 2026, according to the TSA, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Contract will expire at the sooner of the first 9:00 AM following the release of the data for October 11, 2026, or one week

KALSHI

Will more than 2450000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will more than 2450000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

If weekly average TSA airport screenings are above 2.45 million for the week ending October 11, 2026, according to the TSA, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Contract will expire at the sooner of the first 9:00 AM following the release of the data for October 11, 2026, or one wee

KALSHI

Will more than 2400000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will more than 2400000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

If weekly average TSA airport screenings are above 2.4 million for the week ending October 11, 2026, according to the TSA, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Contract will expire at the sooner of the first 9:00 AM following the release of the data for October 11, 2026, or one week

KALSHI

Will more than 2350000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will more than 2350000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

If weekly average TSA airport screenings are above 2.35 million for the week ending October 11, 2026, according to the TSA, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Contract will expire at the sooner of the first 9:00 AM following the release of the data for October 11, 2026, or one wee

KALSHI

Will more than 2300000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will more than 2300000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

If weekly average TSA airport screenings are above 2.3 million for the week ending October 11, 2026, according to the TSA, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Contract will expire at the sooner of the first 9:00 AM following the release of the data for October 11, 2026, or one week

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

75¢

Kalshi

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/yuX3Ic" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="TSA avg check-ins from Oct 5 to 11, 2026?"></iframe>

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TSA avg check-ins from Oct 5 to 11, 2026?

TSA avg check-ins from Oct 5 to 11, 2026?

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Will more than 2500000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

TSA avg check-ins from Oct 5 to 11, 2026?

Markets (21)

Will more than 2500000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2500000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2450000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2450000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2400000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2400000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2350000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2350000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2300000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2300000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will more than 2500000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

TSA avg check-ins from Oct 5 to 11, 2026?

Will more than 2500000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2500000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2450000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2450000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2400000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2400000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2350000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2350000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2300000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Will more than 2300000 people be **screened by the TSA** on average this week?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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Will more than 2500000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2500000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2500000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2450000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2450000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2400000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2400000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2350000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2350000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2300000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2300000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2500000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2500000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2500000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2450000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2450000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2400000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2400000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2350000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2350000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2300000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?

Will more than 2300000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week?