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What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

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What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

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$0.00

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

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10 markets tracked

Will the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?	Kalshi	33%
Will the U.S. withdraw from United Nations before Jan 20, 2029?	Kalshi	26%
Will the U.S. withdraw from OECD before Jan 20, 2029?	Kalshi	21%
Will the U.S. withdraw from World Bank Group before Jan 20, 2029?	Kalshi	18%
Will the U.S. withdraw from Inter-American Development Bank before Jan 20, 2029?	Kalshi	17%
Will the U.S. withdraw from International Monetary Fund before Jan 20, 2029?	Kalshi	15%
Will the U.S. withdraw from Interpol before Jan 20, 2029?	Kalshi	10%
Will the U.S. withdraw from International Atomic Energy Agency before Jan 20, 2029?	Kalshi	9%
Will the U.S. withdraw from G20 before Jan 20, 2029?	Kalshi	5%
Will the U.S. withdraw from G7 before Jan 20, 2029?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

33%

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$0.00

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About This Event

Before Jan 20, 2029 If the United States completely withdraws from X before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 20, 2029

If the United States completely withdraws from X before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the United States completely withdraws from United Nations before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the U.S. withdraw from United Nations before Jan 20, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the U.S. withdraw from OECD before Jan 20, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the U.S. withdraw from Interpol before Jan 20, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the U.S. withdraw from Inter-American Development Bank before Jan 20, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the U.S. withdraw from International Atomic Energy Agency before Jan 20, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the U.S. withdraw from World Bank Group before Jan 20, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the U.S. withdraw from International Monetary Fund before Jan 20, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the U.S. withdraw from G7 before Jan 20, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the U.S. withdraw from G20 before Jan 20, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

Volume$0.00

Markets10

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KALSHI

Will the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.5¢No 67.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?

If the United States completely withdraws from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will the U.S. withdraw from United Nations before Jan 20, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the U.S. withdraw from United Nations before Jan 20, 2029?

If the United States completely withdraws from United Nations before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will the U.S. withdraw from OECD before Jan 20, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the U.S. withdraw from OECD before Jan 20, 2029?

If the United States completely withdraws from OECD before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will the U.S. withdraw from World Bank Group before Jan 20, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.0¢No 82.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the U.S. withdraw from World Bank Group before Jan 20, 2029?

If the United States completely withdraws from World Bank Group before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will the U.S. withdraw from Inter-American Development Bank before Jan 20, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the U.S. withdraw from Inter-American Development Bank before Jan 20, 2029?

If the United States completely withdraws from Inter-American Development Bank before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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16¢

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What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

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Will the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

Markets (10)

Will the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from United Nations before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from United Nations before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from OECD before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from OECD before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from World Bank Group before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from World Bank Group before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from Inter-American Development Bank before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from Inter-American Development Bank before Jan 20, 2029?

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Will the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

Will the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from United Nations before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from United Nations before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from OECD before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from OECD before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from World Bank Group before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from World Bank Group before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from Inter-American Development Bank before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. withdraw from Inter-American Development Bank before Jan 20, 2029?

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