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| Market | Platform | Price |
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![]() | Poly | 3% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This event is for the WBB game between Dartmouth Big Green and Princeton Tigers on January 17 at 2:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction markets are pricing in a decisive victory for the Princeton Tigers. The Dartmouth Big Green outcome is trading at just 3¢, implying a mere 3% probability of an upset win. This price suggests the market views a Dartmouth victory as highly improbable, bordering on a near-certain loss. The extremely low probability reflects the overwhelming consensus in the market's assessment of this matchup.
Two primary factors explain the lopsided pricing. First, the historical and recent competitive gap between these Ivy League programs is vast. Princeton has long been the conference powerhouse, while Dartmouth has struggled at the bottom of the standings. Second, the fundamental analysis of team performance this season reinforces this disparity. Princeton typically features a top-ranked defense and efficient offense within the Ivy League, whereas Dartmouth often contends with significant scoring deficits and defensive challenges. The market is effectively pricing in the Tigers' superior talent, system, and consistent results.
Given the extreme pricing, a meaningful shift in odds would require a major, unforeseen catalyst. The primary risk to the consensus view would be a key last-minute absence for Princeton, such as an injury to a star player announced just before tip-off. A significant, anomalous shooting performance from Dartmouth, combined with an uncharacteristically poor offensive night from Princeton, could also make the game closer than expected. However, with the game resolving in just two days, the window for new information to alter this fundamental assessment is very narrow. The market currently sees no credible path to an upset barring a fluke scenario.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
$173.00
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This prediction market topic concerns the outcome of a Women's Basketball (WBB) game scheduled for January 17 at 2:00 PM Eastern Time between the Dartmouth Big Green and the Princeton Tigers. The market allows participants to wager on which team will win this specific contest within the Ivy League conference. The event is part of the 2024-2025 NCAA Division I women's basketball regular season, where conference standings and seeding for the Ivy League Tournament are at stake. The market includes specific contingency rules: if the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed, and if the game is canceled without a makeup date, the market resolves as a 50-50 split. This creates a unique financial instrument that accounts for both athletic competition and logistical uncertainties. Interest in this market stems from several factors, including the competitive dynamics of Ivy League basketball, the historical rivalry between these institutions, and the broader growth of women's collegiate sports. Bettors and analysts are drawn to such markets to test predictions against the point spread and to engage with the narrative of an underdog versus a perennial powerhouse. The outcome has implications for team morale, conference rankings, and the evaluation of coaching strategies mid-season.
The women's basketball rivalry between Dartmouth and Princeton is framed by a significant historical imbalance. Princeton has dominated the series in recent decades, establishing itself as the Ivy League's premier program. For example, during the 2023-2024 season, Princeton defeated Dartmouth in both matchups, winning 77-55 at home and 74-48 on the road. This continued a trend where Princeton has often finished at or near the top of the Ivy League standings, while Dartmouth has been in a rebuilding phase. The broader historical context includes Princeton's rise to national prominence under former coach Courtney Banghart and its continuation under Carla Berube, including multiple NCAA Tournament victories. Dartmouth, a charter member of the Ivy League, has a storied history but has not won an Ivy League women's basketball championship since 2009. The last time Dartmouth defeated Princeton was on February 7, 2020, with a 69-66 victory in Hanover. This historical precedent sets the stage for a classic matchup of a struggling program aiming to topple a conference giant, a narrative common in collegiate sports.
Beyond the immediate game result, this matchup matters for the competitive landscape and visibility of Ivy League women's basketball. A strong, competitive conference enhances the league's reputation, which can impact recruiting, media coverage, and potential at-large bids to the NCAA Tournament. For Dartmouth, a competitive showing or an upset victory would signal tangible progress in their rebuild, boosting morale for players and fans and potentially altering the perception of the program within the conference. For Princeton, a loss to a lower-ranked opponent could jeopardize their standing for the Ivy League Tournament's top seed, which comes with a crucial bye. Economically, successful programs and compelling matchups can drive ticket sales, merchandise, and alumni engagement. Socially, the continued growth of women's collegiate sports is underscored by every nationally televised game and every competitive conference battle, inspiring young athletes and contributing to the broader movement for equity in athletics.
As of early January 2025, both teams are engaged in their Ivy League conference schedules. Princeton enters this matchup as the heavy favorite, likely boasting a strong overall and conference record reflective of their preseason expectations. Dartmouth's status is that of a developing team seeking to find consistency and pull off an upset to improve their conference standing. The specific injury reports, recent game outcomes, and practice developments in the days immediately preceding January 17 will be critical final factors influencing the game's dynamics and the prediction market.
According to the market rules, if the game is postponed, the prediction market will remain open and active until the game is actually played and completed. The settlement of bets will only occur once a final result is achieved on the rescheduled date.
The game is scheduled to be played at Leede Arena in Hanover, New Hampshire, which is the home court of the Dartmouth Big Green. Home court advantage can be a factor in closely contested conference games.
The game will likely be broadcast on an ESPN digital platform (ESPN+ or ESPN3) or on the Ivy League Network, as is standard for Ivy League conference contests. The official athletic websites for Dartmouth and Princeton will provide the definitive broadcast information.
Based on recent history and program strength, the Princeton Tigers are the overwhelming favorite to win this game. Sportsbooks and prediction markets will reflect this with odds heavily skewed towards a Princeton victory.
The top four teams in the final Ivy League regular-season standings qualify for the Ivy League Tournament. The semifinals and championship game are played at a single site, with the tournament champion receiving the league's automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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