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Event GroupKALSHIElections

Colorado Democratic Governor primary: Phil Weiser vote percent

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Colorado Democratic Governor primary: Phil Weiser vote percent

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Will Phil Weiser receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Phil Weiser receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	100%
Will Phil Weiser receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	100%
Will Phil Weiser receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	100%
Will Phil Weiser receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	100%
Will Phil Weiser receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	100%
Will Phil Weiser receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	100%
Will Phil Weiser receive at least 65% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	1%
Will Phil Weiser receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	1%

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About This Event

Vote Percent - Phil Weiser If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Colorado Democratic Governor primary: Phil Weiser vote percent
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Vote Percent - Phil Weiser

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 65% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/p"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Phil Weiser receive at least 65% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Phil Weiser receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Phil Weiser receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Phil Weiser receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Phil Weiser receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Phil Weiser receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Phil Weiser receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Phil Weiser receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Colorado Democratic Governor primary: Phil Weiser vote percent

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KALSHI

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 55% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/p

KALSHI

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/p

KALSHI

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/p

KALSHI

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/p

KALSHI

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 35% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/p

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/yzDrRF" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Colorado Democratic Governor primary: Phil Weiser vote percent"></iframe>

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Colorado Democratic Governor primary: Phil Weiser vote percent

Colorado Democratic Governor primary: Phil Weiser vote percent

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Will Phil Weiser receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

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Events (1)

Colorado Democratic Governor primary: Phil Weiser vote percent

Markets (8)

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

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Will Phil Weiser receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Colorado Democratic Governor primary: Phil Weiser vote percent

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Will Phil Weiser receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

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