GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

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What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

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9 markets tracked

Will the Secretary of State visit Qatar before 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Secretary of State visit Qatar before 2027?	Kalshi	47%
Will the Secretary of State visit Switzerland before 2027?	Kalshi	47%
Will the Secretary of State visit Mexico before 2027?	Kalshi	45%
Will the Secretary of State visit Cuba before 2027?	Kalshi	31%
Will the Secretary of State visit Poland before 2027?	Kalshi	30%
Will the Secretary of State visit Ukraine before 2027?	Kalshi	27%
Will the Secretary of State visit Oman before 2027?	Kalshi	21%
Will the Secretary of State visit Venezuela before 2027?	Kalshi	19%
Will the Secretary of State visit Russia before 2027?	Kalshi	15%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

47%

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$0.00

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About This Event

Before 2027 If the Secretary of State visits X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Mere layovers, and visits to foreign embassies in the United States, do not count as foreign trips. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2027

If the Secretary of State visits X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Mere layovers, and visits to foreign embassies in the United States, do not count as foreign trips. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Secretary of State visits Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Mere layovers, and visits to foreign embassies in the United States, do not count as foreign trips. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Secretary of State visit Venezuela before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Secretary of State visit Ukraine before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Secretary of State visit Switzerland before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Secretary of State visit Russia before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Secretary of State visit Qatar before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the Secretary of State visit Poland before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the Secretary of State visit Oman before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the Secretary of State visit Mexico before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the Secretary of State visit Cuba before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets9

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KALSHI

Will the Secretary of State visit Qatar before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.0¢No 53.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the Secretary of State visit Qatar before 2027?

If the Secretary of State visits Qatar before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Mere layovers, and visits to foreign embassies in the United States, do not count as foreign trips. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will the Secretary of State visit Switzerland before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 46.5¢No 53.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the Secretary of State visit Switzerland before 2027?

If the Secretary of State visits Switzerland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Mere layovers, and visits to foreign embassies in the United States, do not count as foreign trips. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will the Secretary of State visit Mexico before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the Secretary of State visit Mexico before 2027?

If the Secretary of State visits Mexico before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Mere layovers, and visits to foreign embassies in the United States, do not count as foreign trips. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will the Secretary of State visit Cuba before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.0¢No 69.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the Secretary of State visit Cuba before 2027?

If the Secretary of State visits Cuba before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Mere layovers, and visits to foreign embassies in the United States, do not count as foreign trips. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will the Secretary of State visit Poland before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the Secretary of State visit Poland before 2027?

If the Secretary of State visits Poland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Mere layovers, and visits to foreign embassies in the United States, do not count as foreign trips. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

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Will the Secretary of State visit Qatar before 2027?

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Events (1)

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

Markets (9)

Will the Secretary of State visit Qatar before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Qatar before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Switzerland before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Switzerland before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Mexico before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Mexico before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Cuba before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Cuba before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Poland before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Poland before 2027?

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Will the Secretary of State visit Qatar before 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

Will the Secretary of State visit Qatar before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Qatar before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Switzerland before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Switzerland before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Mexico before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Mexico before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Cuba before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Cuba before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Poland before 2027?

Will the Secretary of State visit Poland before 2027?

Related News & Context

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