Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Florida Governor-Senate combo

Total Volume

$7.54K

Events

Markets

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Florida Governor-Senate combo

Vol

$7.54K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $7.54K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.54K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?	Kalshi	80%
Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?	Kalshi	12%
Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?	Kalshi	9%
Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

80%

Top Probability

$7.54K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Nov 2026 If ALL of the following occur: Florida Governor winner: Republican party, Florida Senate winner: X party, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Florida Governor winner, GOVPARTY, Florida Senate winner, SE

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Florida Governor-Senate combo
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Nov 2026

If ALL of the following occur: Florida Governor winner: Republican party, Florida Senate winner: X party, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Florida Governor winner, GOVPARTY, Florida Senate winner, SE

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If ALL of the following occur: Florida Governor winner: Republican party, Florida Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $5.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $386
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $321
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Florida Governor-Senate combo

Volume$7.54K

Markets4

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KALSHI

Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 79.5¢No 20.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?

If ALL of the following occur: Florida Governor winner: Republican party, Florida Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to

KALSHI

Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?

If ALL of the following occur: Florida Governor winner: Democratic party, Florida Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to

KALSHI

Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?

If ALL of the following occur: Florida Governor winner: Democratic party, Florida Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to

KALSHI

Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?

If ALL of the following occur: Florida Governor winner: Republican party, Florida Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to

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Florida Governor-Senate combo

Florida Governor-Senate combo

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Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Florida Governor-Senate combo

Markets (4)

Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?

Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?

Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?

Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?

Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?

Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?

Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?

Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?

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Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Florida Governor-Senate combo

Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?

Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?

Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?

Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?

Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?

Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?

Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?

Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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