Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupKALSHI

Will the USD Settlement Price for the Current Auction of the November 18, 2026 CARB Joint Auction #49 settle at or above the official November 18, 2026 ICE settlement price for the November 2026 California Carbon Allowance Vintage 2026 Future?

Will the USD Settlement Price for the Current Auction of the November 18, 2026 CARB Joint Auction #49 settle at or above the official November 18, 2026 ICE settlement price for the November 2026 California Carbon Allowance Vintage 2026 Future?
Vol

K 0 contracts

|
Events

1

|
Markets

1

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is CARB ≥ ICE at 50%.

Kalshi

  1. CARB ≥ ICE50%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Auction #49 · November 18, 2026 If the official CARB Current Auction USD Settlement Price for CARB Joint Auction #49 is greater than or equal to the official ICE settlement for November 2026 California Carbon Allowance Vintage 2026 Future on November 18, 2026, the market resolves to Yes. CARB Leg: Use the uniform-price allowance price, expressed in USD/tCO2e, resulting from the sale of allowances in the Current Auction component. This figure strictly excludes the Advance Auction Settlement Price, any Allowance Price Containment Reserve sale price, and any secondary-market pricing. If the Current Auction is undersubscribed and clears at the Auction Reserve Price, that reserve price serves as the Settlement Price. ICE Leg: Use the official ICE settlement for the November 2026 California Carbon Allowance Vintage 2026 Future for trade date November 18, 2026; if none is published for that trade date, use the most recent prior official ICE settlement. Resolution: Compare both values exactly as published, to the cent, without rounding. The market resolves Yes if the CARB Current Auction Settlement Price is greater than or equal to the ICE settlement price, and No if it is strictly less. In the event that Joint Auction #49 is canceled, postponed, or CARB fails to publish the Summary Results Report by January 1, 2027 at 2:59 AM EST, the market resolves to No.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiFinancials
DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT · Average price in November 2026

DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT · Average price in November 2026

K 4.5K contracts
Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT be above $26.50 in November 2026?Yes 98%
Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT be above $26.40 in November 2026?Yes 98%
Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT be above $26.30 in November 2026?Yes 98%
+47 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 · Average price in November 2026

DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 · Average price in November 2026

K 3.9K contracts
Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $48.75 in November 2026?Yes 99%
Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $48.50 in November 2026?Yes 99%
Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $49.00 in November 2026?Yes 98%
+47 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in November

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in November

K 36.7K contracts
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $7.00 in November 2026?Yes 95%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in November 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in November 2026?Yes 87.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

PM $44.8K
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026?Yes 8.5%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Georgia by November 30, 2026?Yes 7.1%
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Jersey by November 30, 2026?Yes 4.8%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on November 2, 2026 at 4pm ET

(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on November 2, 2026 at 4pm ET

K 0 contracts
Dow Jones price: At least 52,025 November 2, 2026 at 4pm ETYes 37.5%
Dow Jones price: At least 52,075 November 2, 2026 at 4pm ETYes 35.5%
Dow Jones price: At least 52,100 November 2, 2026 at 4pm ETYes 32%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in November

NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in November

K 23.9K contracts
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in November 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in November 2026?Yes 52%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in November 2026?Yes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market