France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 | PredictPedia

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15 markets tracked

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.2%?

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Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.2%?	Kalshi	97%
Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.1%?	Kalshi	97%
Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.6%?	Kalshi	97%
Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.5%?	Kalshi	97%
Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.4%?	Kalshi	97%
Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.3%?	Kalshi	97%
Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.7%?	Kalshi	89%
Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.8%?	Kalshi	78%
Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.9%?	Kalshi	69%
Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 2.0%?	Kalshi	58%
Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 2.1%?	Kalshi	49%
Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 2.2%?	Kalshi	39%
Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 2.3%?	Kalshi	29%
Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 2.4%?	Kalshi	19%
Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 2.5%?	Kalshi	9%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** April 2026

If France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 is above X , then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 is above 

2.5

, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 2.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 2.4%?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 2.3%?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 2.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 2.1%?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 2.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.9%?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 69.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.8%?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.7%?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.6%?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.4%?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.3%?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.1%?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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68¢

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Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.2%?

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Events (1)

France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026

Markets (15)

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.2%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.2%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.1%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.1%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.6%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.6%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.5%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.5%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.4%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.4%?

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Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.2%?

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France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.2%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.2%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.1%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.1%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.6%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.6%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.5%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.5%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.4%?

Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.4%?

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